Watchlist Investing

Watchlist Investing

Medifast Full Year 2025 Update

The net net turnaround opportunity continues.

Adam Mead's avatar
Adam Mead
Feb 25, 2026
∙ Paid

Warren Buffett: Both our operating and investment experience cause us to conclude that turnarounds seldom turn.1

Me: So you’re saying there’s a chance?


Disclosures: Long MED


Highlights

  • Operating losses continue

    • Sales down 36% YoY

    • Operating loss of $14 million

  • Coaches

    • Active earning coaches down 40.6% YoY to 16,100

    • Small bright spot in 6% QoQ revenue per active coach

  • Cash + investments of $167 million

  • Market cap = $115 million

  • $12.1 million non-cash tax valuation allowance, but $10.5 million out the door in cash taxes

  • 2026 guidance

    • Q1 revenue $65 to $80 million

    • Full-year revenue of $270 to $300 million

    • Full-year loss of $1.55 to $2.75 per share ($17 million to $30 million)

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